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Red125
205439.9
8542.3
495624.7
Blue116
400437.3
598037.9
571026.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212350100150200125116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#1
42.30.2
42.742.5
Auto11.0
Teleop28.1
End3.2
red by 4.4
37.90.1
38.137.9
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End9.3
Second
39.90.2
40.240.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
red by 2.5
37.30.1
37.537.3
Auto5.5
Teleop21.6
End10.2
Third
4956
#35
24.70.2
25.024.9
Auto6.6
Teleop13.7
End4.4
blue by 1.9
5710
#29
26.60.1
26.726.6
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8