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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Northern Lights Regional
Red132
87641.8
308228.1
304228.6
Blue77
439721.3
305428.1
534826.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11992608010014016013277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#5
41.80.7
39.8→40.4
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End6.9
red by 13.7
3054
#6
28.10.7
28.7→28.1
Auto10.2
Teleop11.5
End6.4
Second
3042
#19
28.60.6
26.8→27.4
Auto6.9
Teleop16.4
End5.3
red by 2.4
5348
#12
26.20.7
26.9→26.2
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End3.9
Third
3082
#4
28.10.6
26.3→26.9
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 6.8
4397
#40
21.30.7
21.9→21.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End5.5