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Red52
514828.2
563825.7
467113.1
Blue62
313228.4
614713.0
462423.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556901001505262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5148
#29
28.20.9
20.219.3
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
blue by 0.2
3132
#15
28.40.3
29.729.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End4.6
Second
5638
#30
25.70.9
20.419.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End4.4
red by 2.1
4624
#14
23.60.3
19.419.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Third
4671
#49
13.10.9
14.613.7
Auto1.3
Teleop10.6
End1.1
red by 0.1
6147
#38
13.02.4
13.015.3
Auto1.9
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed