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Qual 102016 Northern Lights Regional
Red31
87716.4
93026.8
422619.7
Blue14
46576.7
249120.1
286117.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555420304050607080903114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#9
26.82.3
20.5→18.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.8
End5.9
red by 6.6
2491
#34
20.14.5
20.0→15.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.7
Second
4226
#37
19.72.3
15.7→13.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End2.9
red by 2.5
2861
#35
17.24.5
17.8→13.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Third
877
#44
16.42.3
15.3→13.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
red by 9.7
4657
#56
6.74.5
16.3→11.8
Auto1.3
Teleop5.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed