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Red62
329816.7
375420.7
485926.9
Blue68
46264.8
250130.7
422619.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6145020801001206268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4859
#28
26.90.5
21.622.1
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End5.1
blue by 3.8
30.72.4
18.320.7
Auto7.4
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Second
3754
#21
20.70.5
18.819.3
Auto11.4
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 1.0
4226
#37
19.72.4
13.415.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End2.9
Third
3298
#48
16.70.5
16.817.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End2.1
red by 11.9
4626
#53
4.82.4
14.516.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed