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Qual 242016 Northern Lights Regional
Red57
476220.8
465627.4
466522.2
Blue12
46264.8
46576.7
372322.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494201020306070805712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4656
#8
27.41.2
19.5→20.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 5.1
3723
#33
22.33.3
16.1→12.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End4.2
Second
4665
#42
22.21.2
14.1→15.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.5
End4.4
red by 15.5
4657
#56
6.73.3
8.4→5.2
Auto1.3
Teleop5.3
End0.1
Third
4762
#32
20.81.2
12.5→13.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.0
End3.9
red by 16.0
4626
#53
4.83.3
16.9→13.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed