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Red70
621716.8
329717.7
288340.5
Blue47
46264.8
331331.7
604717.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60532040801007047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.9
24.925.8
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 8.8
3313
#13
31.71.2
21.320.1
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End5.7
Second
3297
#43
17.70.9
16.317.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 0.3
6047
#39
17.42.9
17.414.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Third
6217
#51
16.80.2
16.816.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End1.1
red by 11.9
4626
#53
4.81.2
15.614.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed