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Qual 302016 Northern Lights Regional
Red72
308228.1
59998.5
565823.9
Blue29
249120.1
467113.1
295712.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514302060807229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3082
#4
28.12.0
19.2→21.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 8.0
2491
#34
20.11.6
16.8→15.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.7
Second
5658
#25
23.92.0
16.6→18.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End4.5
red by 10.8
4671
#49
13.11.6
14.5→12.9
Auto1.3
Teleop10.6
End1.1
Third
5999
#52
8.52.0
12.8→14.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.3
blue by 4.3
2957
#55
12.91.6
11.9→10.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed