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Red57
87641.8
46576.7
572019.0
Blue68
288340.5
416621.4
565823.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586802040801001201405768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#5
41.80.7
33.833.1
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End6.9
red by 1.2
40.50.4
28.729.1
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Second
5720
#47
19.00.7
19.218.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 4.9
5658
#25
23.90.4
18.619.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End4.5
Third
4657
#56
6.70.7
5.24.5
Auto1.3
Teleop5.3
End0.1
blue by 14.7
4166
#41
21.40.4
17.117.5
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed