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Red58
592921.2
439721.3
604717.4
Blue100
476220.8
416621.4
517241.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51682040608010012058100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4397
#40
21.30.1
18.418.5
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End5.5
blue by 20.1
5172
#16
41.33.5
32.235.8
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End8.0
Second
5929
#20
21.20.1
17.417.5
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.9
blue by 0.2
4166
#41
21.43.5
17.521.1
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End4.3
Third
6047
#39
17.40.1
16.216.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 3.4
4762
#32
20.83.5
13.416.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed