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Red67
565823.9
25009.2
462423.6
Blue70
465627.4
93026.8
375420.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566702040801001206770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5658
#25
23.90.6
19.019.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End4.5
blue by 3.5
27.40.8
21.322.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Second
4624
#14
23.60.6
24.925.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
blue by 3.1
930
#9
26.80.8
22.823.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.8
End5.9
Third
2500
#57
9.20.6
12.312.9
Auto1.6
Teleop7.3
End0.3
blue by 11.5
3754
#21
20.70.8
19.019.8
Auto11.4
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed