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Qual 512016 Northern Lights Regional
Red54
298916.1
313228.4
369211.0
Blue45
417417.2
466522.2
439721.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5957404550556570755445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#15
28.40.3
28.7→28.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End4.6
red by 6.2
4665
#42
22.21.7
19.0→17.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.5
End4.4
Second
2989
#45
16.10.3
15.8→15.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End2.7
blue by 5.2
4397
#40
21.31.7
18.5→16.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End5.5
Third
3692
#58
11.00.3
12.2→11.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 6.3
4174
#18
17.21.7
18.0→16.3
Auto1.7
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed