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Red52
614713.0
588217.7
422619.7
Blue50
250912.4
59998.5
416621.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55440204060805250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4226
#37
19.70.6
18.117.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.6
End2.9
blue by 1.7
4166
#41
21.40.6
21.121.6
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End4.3
Second
5882
#26
17.70.6
21.320.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.9
End4.0
red by 5.4
2509
#60
12.40.6
12.513.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Third
6147
#38
13.00.6
12.812.2
Auto1.9
Teleop10.3
End0.7
red by 4.4
5999
#52
8.50.6
11.211.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed14%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed