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Red100
517241.3
572019.0
485926.9
Blue9
295712.9
369211.0
321216.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62532040801001009

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#16
41.32.9
23.426.3
Auto10.8
Teleop22.5
End8.0
red by 24.9
3212
#24
16.44.9
16.511.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.1
Second
4859
#28
26.92.9
18.721.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 14.0
2957
#55
12.94.9
17.212.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
5720
#47
19.02.9
16.819.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 8.1
3692
#58
11.04.9
19.114.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed