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Qual 782016 Northern Lights Regional
Red42
462320.9
46264.8
436014.6
Blue49
418216.5
416621.4
467113.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465502040801001204249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4623
#27
20.92.0
22.9→20.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End6.5
blue by 0.5
4166
#41
21.40.3
21.7→21.4
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End4.3
Second
4360
#59
14.62.0
16.6→14.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 1.9
4182
#22
16.50.3
16.8→16.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Third
4626
#53
4.82.0
6.8→4.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 8.3
4671
#49
13.10.3
13.4→13.1
Auto1.3
Teleop10.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed16%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed