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Red65
546420.3
305428.1
616625.4
Blue42
592921.2
466522.2
329816.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50502030406070806542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.4
16.017.4
Auto10.2
Teleop11.5
End6.4
red by 5.9
4665
#42
22.20.9
16.415.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.5
End4.4
Second
25.412.6
29.717.0
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
red by 4.2
5929
#20
21.26.4
21.214.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Third
5464
#23
20.31.4
15.817.2
Auto6.1
Teleop11.6
End2.5
red by 3.6
3298
#48
16.70.9
17.716.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed