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Red27
217717.5
375521.5
384020.0
Blue10
460722.4
554215.2
421713.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54450204060802710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3755
#45
21.52.6
19.016.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.9
End4.8
blue by 0.9
4607
#48
22.43.9
17.814.0
Auto6.3
Teleop9.5
End6.6
Second
3840
#24
20.02.6
16.614.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End3.4
red by 4.8
5542
#46
15.23.9
12.99.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Third
2177
#25
17.52.6
15.112.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 4.1
4217
#59DQ
13.33.9
14.110.2
Auto1.4
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed