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Qual 212016 Lake Superior Regional
Red94
498619.2
35947.4
418124.8
Blue81
171427.1
327729.4
305521.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68612040801009481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
47.42.7
32.7→35.4
Auto12.3
Teleop28.3
End6.8
red by 18.0
3277
#5
29.40.7
20.6→21.3
Auto6.7
Teleop15.9
End6.8
Second
4181
#38
24.82.7
17.2→19.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End4.2
blue by 2.3
1714
#34
27.10.7
21.5→22.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.9
End4.7
Third
4986
#33
19.22.7
15.0→17.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End4.7
blue by 2.7
3055
#32
21.90.7
17.9→18.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed