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Red46
252619.7
484516.0
617519.5
Blue32
565320.0
217717.5
61768.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57532030407080904632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.72.1
20.818.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 0.3
5653
#42
20.02.2
19.016.8
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End5.0
Second
6175
#39
19.513.0
26.613.6
Auto7.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
red by 2.0
2177
#25
17.52.2
17.315.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Third
4845
#36
16.02.1
18.316.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End3.3
red by 7.8
6176
#62
8.15.3
8.113.4
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed