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Red62
525318.9
171427.1
604420.7
Blue57
329423.5
226420.2
602220.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5844020801006257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#34
27.10.8
22.223.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.9
End4.7
red by 3.6
3294
#29
23.50.3
15.716.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Second
6044
#20
20.70.8
15.015.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End4.4
red by 0.5
2264
#23
20.20.3
14.014.3
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End2.4
Third
5253
#55
18.90.8
17.318.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 1.2
6022
#27
20.20.3
15.015.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned21%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed