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Red69
171427.1
249915.2
424419.7
Blue76
222721.3
375521.5
327729.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46540204060801001206976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#34
27.12.5
23.025.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.9
End4.7
blue by 2.3
29.42.7
22.325.1
Auto6.7
Teleop15.9
End6.8
Second
4244
#43
19.72.5
13.115.6
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End4.7
blue by 1.8
3755
#45
21.52.7
14.817.6
Auto7.8
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Third
2499
#56
15.22.5
10.012.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End4.2
blue by 6.1
2227
#51
21.32.7
14.317.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed