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Red56
181624.7
329013.9
247222.9
Blue62
250328.6
226420.2
305521.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515702040801001205662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#26
24.70.6
17.117.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End3.4
blue by 3.9
2503
#11
28.60.8
24.225.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End6.5
Second
2472
#30
22.90.6
18.719.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.6
red by 1.0
3055
#32
21.90.8
16.016.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Third
3290
#57
13.90.6
14.915.5
Auto1.3
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 6.3
2264
#23
20.20.8
14.415.2
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed