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Red60
284626.7
484516.0
616015.4
Blue55
525318.9
460722.4
614616.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535030406070806055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#14
26.70.4
22.322.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End6.3
red by 4.3
4607
#48
22.40.6
18.419.0
Auto6.3
Teleop9.5
End6.6
Second
4845
#36
16.00.4
11.712.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End3.3
blue by 3.0
5253
#55
18.90.6
17.618.3
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Third
6160
#60
15.40.4
17.317.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.0
End3.9
blue by 0.7
6146
#40
16.10.6
13.314.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed