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Red70
599820.4
253821.5
569028.3
Blue47
375521.5
498619.2
481817.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66480204060801001207047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.0
20.421.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 6.8
3755
#45
21.50.2
17.617.3
Auto7.8
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Second
21.51.0
22.723.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
red by 2.3
4986
#33
19.20.2
15.615.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End4.7
Third
5998
#35
20.41.0
18.319.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End4.2
red by 3.3
4818
#58
17.10.2
15.815.6
Auto2.1
Teleop11.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed