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Red89
375026.7
469323.5
565320.0
Blue62
253821.5
226420.2
514320.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5955405070808962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.73.6
22.025.6
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End7.8
red by 5.2
21.50.8
23.624.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Second
4693
#28
23.53.6
17.821.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End4.7
red by 3.2
2264
#23
20.20.8
15.216.1
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End2.4
Third
5653
#42
20.03.6
16.720.3
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End5.0
blue by 0.1
5143
#49
20.00.8
15.516.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned21%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed