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Red106
602220.2
305521.9
310230.5
Blue85
305624.8
423023.5
375026.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66740204010012014016010685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#17
30.51.7
28.830.5
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End4.9
red by 3.8
26.71.6
25.627.2
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End7.8
Second
3055
#32
21.91.7
19.020.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 2.9
3056
#19
24.81.6
23.324.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.7
End4.7
Third
6022
#27
20.21.7
17.619.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.6
End1.9
blue by 3.3
4230
#13
23.51.6
21.623.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed