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Red78
481817.1
217717.5
297730.0
Blue69
501917.1
405426.5
591319.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585640507080907869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2977
#18
30.02.5
25.427.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.9
End4.7
red by 3.5
4054
#12
26.51.5
22.423.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End4.8
Second
2177
#25
17.52.5
16.719.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End2.8
blue by 1.7
5913
#21
19.11.5
17.619.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Third
4818
#58
17.12.5
13.616.1
Auto2.1
Teleop11.6
End3.5
Level
5019
#44
17.11.5
15.717.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed