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Red54
591418.2
533922.6
313422.7
Blue42
260618.6
387114.9
302632.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496601001502005442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
#23
22.70.1
16.316.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End6.3
blue by 10.0
3026
#20
32.82.0
27.825.8
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End3.2
Second
5339
#31
22.60.1
18.318.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End4.8
red by 4.0
2606
#40
18.62.7
18.015.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
5914
#34
18.28.6
24.115.5
Auto9.3
Teleop7.1
End1.7
red by 3.4
3871
#53
14.92.7
15.813.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed