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Red20
212914.4
423925.6
312214.8
Blue70
384826.8
527519.6
253116.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4358020801002070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4239
#18
25.62.6
20.417.8
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End4.3
blue by 1.2
3848
#26
26.81.8
18.520.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.3
End4.2
Second
3122
#38
14.82.6
13.711.0
Auto1.2
Teleop12.2
End1.4
blue by 4.8
5275
#52
19.61.8
17.819.6
Auto2.0
Teleop13.5
End4.1
Third
2129
#37
14.42.6
9.56.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 2.3
2531
#58
16.71.8
17.519.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed