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Red59
591418.2
463215.8
392629.8
Blue86
217536.7
421525.6
302317.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52660204060801001205986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.1
18.919.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.9
blue by 6.9
36.71.6
30.231.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End4.0
Second
5914
#34
18.20.1
16.216.3
Auto9.3
Teleop7.1
End1.7
blue by 7.4
4215
#19
25.62.6
17.219.8
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
Third
4632
#54
15.80.1
17.717.8
Auto2.0
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 1.4
3023
#36
17.22.6
15.117.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned