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Red71
214322.9
96730.2
320622.4
Blue68
313422.7
257425.4
361015.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63654050607080907168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#14
30.20.6
24.925.4
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.3
red by 4.9
2574
#42
25.40.4
25.826.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End4.1
Second
2143
#39
22.90.9
20.321.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5
red by 0.2
3134
#23
22.70.7
17.418.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End6.3
Third
3206
#22
22.40.9
17.618.5
Auto5.2
Teleop12.9
End4.3
red by 7.1
3610
#32
15.30.7
18.619.3
Auto2.3
Teleop12.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed