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Red70
557641.2
384826.8
467421.3
Blue86
220711.6
466324.8
313041.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81680501001507086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#10
41.20.5
36.736.3
Auto8.2
Teleop24.6
End8.5
blue by 0.7
41.91.2
34.735.9
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End7.2
Second
3848
#26
26.80.8
20.319.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.3
End4.2
red by 2.0
4663
#30
24.82.0
22.024.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Third
4674
#25
21.30.8
20.019.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.1
End1.7
red by 9.7
2207
#59
11.62.0
11.413.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsMissed55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed