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Red74
249125.7
562629.2
427720.4
Blue105
214322.9
388331.8
302632.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57870204010012014016074105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5626
#17
29.21.6
22.824.4
Auto7.6
Teleop16.0
End5.6
blue by 3.6
3026
#20
32.81.3
27.628.9
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End3.2
Second
2491
#27
25.71.2
22.523.7
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End3.8
blue by 6.1
3883
#11
31.81.3
31.432.7
Auto8.4
Teleop18.7
End4.6
Third
4277
#46
20.41.6
14.315.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End3.1
blue by 2.5
2143
#39
22.92.2
21.223.4
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed