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Red46
361015.3
599116.1
387114.9
Blue92
265420.2
388331.8
392629.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4781020601001201401604692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5991
#45
16.11.1
17.216.1
Auto1.8
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 15.7
3883
#11
31.81.2
32.733.9
Auto8.4
Teleop18.7
End4.6
Second
3610
#32
15.31.1
19.518.4
Auto2.3
Teleop12.0
End1.0
blue by 14.6
29.82.0
21.924.0
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.9
Third
3871
#53
14.91.1
13.912.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End1.8
blue by 5.3
2654
#50
20.22.0
19.121.1
Auto0.8
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed