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Red61
423925.6
448016.9
388331.8
Blue129
257425.4
313041.9
217536.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731105010015061129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#11
31.81.0
33.232.2
Auto8.4
Teleop18.7
End4.6
blue by 10.2
41.91.5
40.441.9
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End7.2
Second
4239
#18
25.61.7
24.923.3
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End4.3
blue by 11.1
36.71.5
35.136.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End4.0
Third
4480
#60
16.91.7
18.016.3
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
blue by 8.4
2574
#42
25.41.5
26.327.8
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned