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Red95
388331.8
422514.4
217536.7
Blue57
392834.9
245018.8
369114.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86720501001509557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.9
36.537.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End4.0
red by 1.9
3928
#15
34.91.0
35.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
Second
3883
#11
31.80.9
32.233.1
Auto8.4
Teleop18.7
End4.6
red by 13.0
2450
#51
18.81.6
20.418.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End4.0
Third
4225
#56
14.41.4
13.014.4
Auto1.7
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 0.1
3691
#48
14.51.6
16.114.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed