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Red111
96730.2
313041.9
55419.9
Blue72
387114.9
327527.9
302317.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87540204010012014016011172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.7
41.942.6
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End7.2
red by 14.0
27.91.5
28.329.8
Auto5.9
Teleop16.7
End5.4
Second
967
#14
30.20.7
28.929.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.3
red by 13.0
3023
#36
17.21.5
15.717.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Third
5541
#49
9.90.7
9.19.9
Auto1.4
Teleop8.7
End-0.2
blue by 5.0
3871
#53
14.91.5
13.314.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed