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Semifinal 1-22016 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red148
313041.9
217536.7
304231.5
Blue118
392834.9
222527.1
302632.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14111150100200250148118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#2
41.90.2
42.5→42.7
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End7.2
red by 7.0
3928
#15
34.90.1
34.7→34.8
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
Second
2175
#1
36.70.2
37.3→37.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End4.0
red by 4.0
3026
#20
32.80.1
32.6→32.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End3.2
Third
3042
#28
31.50.2
32.0→32.3
Auto8.9
Teleop16.1
End6.5
red by 4.4
2225
#16
27.10.1
26.8→26.9
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End4.7