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Red138
319727.3
543439.1
251518.5
Blue87
285524.4
454921.8
324426.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128940608010012014016018020013887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.3
40.140.5
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 12.3
3244
#15
26.90.2
26.826.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Second
3197
#11
27.30.2
28.028.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End4.7
red by 2.9
2855
#12
24.40.2
24.424.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
Third
2515
#16
18.50.3
19.519.8
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End3.2
blue by 3.3
4549
#10
21.80.1
22.021.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.6
End4.2