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Qual 112016 Minnesota 10000 Lakes Regional
Red79
324426.9
249829.7
251324.4
Blue47
327826.3
254522.7
303618.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644901001502002503003507947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2498
#8
29.71.6
26.4→28.0
Auto9.5
Teleop14.7
End5.5
red by 3.4
3278
#26
26.30.3
17.0→16.7
Auto10.6
Teleop9.8
End5.9
Second
3244
#15
26.92.1
17.8→20.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
red by 4.2
2545
#50
22.70.3
17.9→17.6
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
2513
#43
24.42.1
15.4→17.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End5.6
red by 6.0
3036
#53
18.40.3
14.7→14.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed