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Red82
363031.9
270520.7
301821.4
Blue42
250823.2
426020.1
329915.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions884701001502008242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.2
30.530.7
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End5.1
red by 8.7
2508
#25
23.21.1
18.517.5
Auto9.8
Teleop9.3
End4.2
Second
3018
#41
21.40.2
22.522.7
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 1.3
4260
#29
20.11.1
14.413.3
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End4.0
Third
2705
#37
20.70.2
26.626.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 5.1
3299
#38
15.61.1
18.617.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed