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Red32
529011.9
466423.2
534012.1
Blue84
375125.5
319727.3
251815.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486801001503284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4664
#18
23.21.9
16.814.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End4.3
blue by 4.2
3197
#11
27.31.3
24.325.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End4.7
Second
5340
#62
12.11.9
15.213.3
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End-0.7
blue by 13.4
3751
#24
25.51.7
21.323.1
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Third
5290
#61
11.91.9
17.315.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 4.0
2518
#48
15.91.7
17.719.4
Auto7.7
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed