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Red57
285524.4
422919.1
383919.8
Blue93
247018.7
310020.1
250129.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536202040801005793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2855
#12
24.40.5
20.420.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
blue by 5.3
2501
#54
29.72.6
28.431.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
Second
3839
#45
19.80.5
17.317.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End3.2
blue by 0.3
3100
#34
20.13.2
13.516.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
4229
#36
19.10.5
14.915.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End1.8
red by 0.3
2470
#19
18.72.1
17.419.5
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed