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Red70
308121.7
327826.3
599620.7
Blue50
282331.0
451115.9
250234.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions478702060801001201401607050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3278
#26
26.32.0
16.718.8
Auto10.6
Teleop9.8
End5.9
blue by 8.0
2502
#13
34.32.6
35.032.4
Auto8.6
Teleop22.1
End3.6
Second
3081
#39
21.71.4
19.721.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.0
End3.3
blue by 9.3
31.02.6
25.422.8
Auto13.8
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Third
5996
#21
20.72.0
15.117.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End3.1
red by 4.8
4511
#57
15.93.2
18.515.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed