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Red82
248022.6
319727.3
426020.1
Blue57
376516.1
300724.4
254522.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565730405070808257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#11
27.30.4
25.626.0
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End4.7
red by 2.9
3007
#23
24.40.3
23.724.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.2
End6.8
Second
2480
#22
22.60.6
17.217.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.4
End3.5
Level
2545
#50
22.70.3
17.617.9
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
4260
#29
20.10.6
13.314.0
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End4.0
red by 4.0
3765
#59
16.10.3
12.612.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed