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Red45
527813.0
223221.9
303618.4
Blue65
563714.5
253219.7
375125.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515502040801001201404565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2232
#32
21.90.6
20.219.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End4.7
blue by 3.6
3751
#24
25.50.8
23.123.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Second
3036
#53
18.40.6
14.413.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End2.3
blue by 1.3
2532
#30
19.70.8
13.814.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Third
5278
#63
13.00.6
15.915.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.0
blue by 1.5
5637
#46
14.50.8
16.216.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed