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Red49
301821.4
345416.3
422919.1
Blue52
303827.4
320216.4
340712.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584702040801001204952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3018
#41
21.40.4
22.722.3
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
blue by 5.9
3038
#20
27.40.6
21.922.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Second
4229
#36
19.10.6
15.414.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End1.8
red by 2.7
3202
#60
16.40.6
12.513.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.2
Third
3454
#52
16.30.6
16.315.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.6
red by 3.6
3407
#56
12.70.6
12.413.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed