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Red103
284635.3
453631.2
282331.0
Blue84
251122.8
318426.9
329915.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9259020408010012014010384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.31.5
30.532.0
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End6.0
red by 8.4
3184
#28
26.91.5
25.727.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Second
31.21.2
31.232.4
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
red by 8.4
2511
#55
22.82.4
19.021.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.4
End6.0
Third
31.01.5
22.824.3
Auto13.8
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 15.4
3299
#38
15.62.4
17.519.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed