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Red57
250823.2
251122.8
330011.7
Blue69
247018.7
305822.8
327826.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496502040801001205769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2508
#25
23.20.8
17.017.8
Auto9.8
Teleop9.3
End4.2
blue by 3.1
3278
#26
26.30.3
22.823.1
Auto10.6
Teleop9.8
End5.9
Second
2511
#55
22.80.8
21.722.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.4
End6.0
Level
3058
#31
22.80.3
18.618.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Third
3300
#51
11.70.8
11.412.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 7.0
2470
#19
18.70.2
19.619.8
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed