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Red53
284723.0
453631.2
303618.4
Blue34
303827.4
534012.1
270520.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697040506080905334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.0
31.530.5
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
red by 3.8
3038
#20
27.43.7
26.122.4
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Second
2847
#44
23.01.6
18.216.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.6
red by 2.4
2705
#37
20.72.2
24.622.4
Auto7.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Third
3036
#53
18.41.6
18.216.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End2.3
red by 6.3
5340
#62
12.13.7
16.612.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed